Works for any account type — 401(k), IRA, or otherwise.
How much more the winning option is worth, after tax, at withdrawal.
If your tax rate is exactly the same now and in retirement, Traditional and Roth give you the identical after-tax result — try setting both tax rates to the same number above to see it. The real decision isn't 'which account type is better,' it's 'will my tax rate go up or down?' Roth wins if you expect a higher rate later. Traditional wins if you expect a lower rate later.
Assumes the same pre-tax contribution capacity either way and identical investment returns in both account types. Real-world contribution limits are the same nominal dollar amount for Traditional and Roth, which effectively lets a Roth shelter more in pre-tax-equivalent terms — a nuance this simple model doesn't capture.
Estimates for illustration only.
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